Chelsea vs Newcastle Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Chelsea

Sat, 14 Mar 202618:30

0 : 1

Full time

Newcastle

Pre-match win probability

50.6%Chelsea23.4%Draw26%Newcastle

Our prediction

Yes · Chelsea

Chelsea vs Newcastle listed tip from the board.

Odds1.53
Confidence50.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Chelsea 50.6%
  • Draw 23.4%
  • Newcastle 26%

Season statistics

Premier League · highlighted side is stronger

ChelseaNewcastle

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.3% · 1.021.4% · 17
1.5 goals20.3% · 1.174.8% · 5
2.5 goals15.5% · 1.539.5% · 2.5
3.5 goals10% · 2.3815.1% · 1.57

Both teams to score

Yes60.9%
No39.1%

Double chance

1X59.9%
X240.1%

Match result

Chelsea1.85
Draw4
Newcastle3.6

Both teams to score

Yes60.9% · 1.53
No39.1% · 2.38

1X

Chance59.9%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance40.1%
Odds1.91

Chelsea

Chance50.6%
Odds1.85

Draw

Chance23.4%
Odds4

Newcastle

Chance26%
Odds3.6

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Yes at 1.53

ChelseaNewcastle
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall66%34%

Chelsea vs Newcastle: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Sat, 14 Mar 2026

Chelsea meet Newcastle in the England, Premier League on 14 March 2026 at 18:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Chelsea at 1.85. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 50.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.53, about 62% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Chelsea vs Newcastle FAQs

4 questions

What time is Chelsea vs Newcastle?

Kickoff is 18:30 on 14 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Chelsea vs Newcastle?

Chelsea is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.85. The margin-adjusted share is about 50.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.53 and under 2.5 is 2.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Chelsea vs Newcastle prediction, H2H and stats