Get Premium

Chester vs Merthyr Town Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · National League - NorthTue, 8 Sept 2026

Chester

DLDWW

Tue, 8 Sept 202619:45

0 : 1

Full time

Merthyr Town

WLDDD

Pre-match win probability

56.1%Chester23.9%Draw20%Merthyr Town

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Chester

Chester vs Merthyr Town listed tip from the board.

Odds1.12
Confidence56.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Chester 56.1%
  • Draw 23.9%
  • Merthyr Town 20%

Season statistics

National League - North · highlighted side is stronger

ChesterMerthyr Town

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.032.3% · 10
1.5 goals20% · 1.175.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.6% · 1.610.2% · 2.3
3.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.6% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes53.6%
No46.4%

Double chance

1X65.7%
X234.3%

Match result

Chester1.6
Draw3.75
Merthyr Town4.5

Both teams to score

Yes53.6% · 1.73
No46.4% · 2

1X

Chance65.7%
Odds1.12

X2

Chance34.3%
Odds2.15

Chester

Chance56.1%
Odds1.6

Draw

Chance23.9%
Odds3.75

Merthyr Town

Chance20%
Odds4.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.12

ChesterMerthyr Town
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall74%26%

Chester vs Merthyr Town: prediction & preview

England · National League - North · Tue, 8 Sept 2026

Chester meet Merthyr Town in the England, National League - North on 8 September 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Chester at 1.6. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 56.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.6, about 59% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Chester vs Merthyr Town FAQs

4 questions

What time is Chester vs Merthyr Town?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 8 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Chester vs Merthyr Town?

Chester is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.6. The margin-adjusted share is about 56.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.6 and under 2.5 is 2.3.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.73. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Chester vs Merthyr Town prediction, H2H and stats