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Chorley vs Alfreton Town Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · National League - NorthTue, 4 Nov 2025

Chorley

Tue, 4 Nov 202520:45

0 : 1

Full time

Alfreton Town

Pre-match win probability

62.3%Chorley22.7%Draw15%Alfreton Town

Our prediction

Chorley

Chorley is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.46
Confidence62.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Chorley 62.3%
  • Draw 22.7%
  • Alfreton Town 15%

Season statistics

National League - North · highlighted side is stronger

ChorleyAlfreton Town

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.031.9% · 11.8
1.5 goals19.8% · 1.165.6% · 4.1
2.5 goals13.9% · 1.6611% · 2.09
3.5 goals8.9% · 2.5916.5% · 1.39

Both teams to score

Yes52.7%
No47.3%

Double chance

1X69.1%
X230.9%

Match result

Chorley1.46
Draw4
Alfreton Town6.07

Both teams to score

Yes52.7% · 1.75
No47.3% · 1.95

1X

Chance69.1%
Odds1.07

X2

Chance30.9%
Odds2.39

Chorley

Chance62.3%
Odds1.46

Draw

Chance22.7%
Odds4

Alfreton Town

Chance15%
Odds6.07

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Chorley at 1.46

ChorleyAlfreton Town
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall81%19%

Chorley vs Alfreton Town: prediction & preview

England · National League - North · Tue, 4 Nov 2025

Chorley meet Alfreton Town in the England, National League - North on 4 November 2025 at 20:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Chorley at 1.46. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 62.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.66, about 55.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Chorley vs Alfreton Town FAQs

4 questions

What time is Chorley vs Alfreton Town?

Kickoff is 20:45 on 4 November 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Chorley vs Alfreton Town?

Chorley is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.46. The margin-adjusted share is about 62.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.66 and under 2.5 is 2.09.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.75. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Chorley vs Alfreton Town prediction, H2H and stats