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Club Nacional vs Penarol Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Primera DivisiónSun, 1 Mar 2026

Club Nacional

Sun, 1 Mar 202623:30

0 : 0

Half time

Penarol

Pre-match win probability

40.9%Club Nacional32%Draw27.1%Penarol

Our prediction

Club Nacional

Club Nacional is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.25
Confidence40.9%
ResultLive
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Club Nacional 40.9%
  • Draw 32%
  • Penarol 27.1%

Season statistics

Primera División · highlighted side is stronger

Club NacionalPenarol

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.3% · 1.13.3% · 7
1.5 goals16.3% · 1.448.9% · 2.62
2.5 goals9.8% · 2.415.3% · 1.53
3.5 goals5.2% · 4.519.9% · 1.18

Both teams to score

Yes46.4%
No53.6%

Double chance

1X55.5%
X244.5%

Match result

Club Nacional2.25
Draw2.88
Penarol3.4

Both teams to score

Yes46.4% · 2
No53.6% · 1.73

1X

Chance55.5%
Odds1.3

X2

Chance44.5%
Odds1.62

Club Nacional

Chance40.9%
Odds2.25

Draw

Chance32%
Odds2.88

Penarol

Chance27.1%
Odds3.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Club Nacional at 2.25

Club NacionalPenarol
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall60%40%

Club Nacional vs Penarol: prediction & preview

Uruguay · Primera División · Sun, 1 Mar 2026

Club Nacional meet Penarol in the Uruguay, Primera División on 1 March 2026 at 23:30 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Club Nacional at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.53, about 61.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Club Nacional vs Penarol FAQs

4 questions

What time is Club Nacional vs Penarol?

Kickoff is 23:30 on 1 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Club Nacional vs Penarol?

Club Nacional is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.4 and under 2.5 is 1.53.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Club Nacional vs Penarol prediction, H2H and stats