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Club Nacional vs Progreso Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Primera DivisiónSun, 2 Aug 2026

Club Nacional

4th in table · 58 pts

WWWWL

Sun, 2 Aug 202622:30

2 : 1

Full time

Progreso

15th in table · 35 pts

WLDWW

Pre-match win probability

65.5%Club Nacional19.6%Draw14.9%Progreso

Our prediction

Club Nacional

Club Nacional is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.42
Confidence65.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Club Nacional 65.5%
  • Draw 19.6%
  • Progreso 14.9%

Season statistics

Primera División · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Club NacionalProgreso
Goals scored (avg)
1.81.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.81.2
Wins
1810
Played
3434

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Club Nacional7W 2D 1L in last 10
  • 25 OctClub Nacional0 – 1Liverpool MontevideoL
  • 20 OctClub Nacional3 – 2Deportivo MaldonadoW
  • 16 OctClub Nacional3 – 0RentistasW
  • 11 OctCentral Espanol0 – 1Club NacionalW
  • 6 OctClub Nacional2 – 0Atletico TorqueW
Progreso5W 1D 4L in last 10
  • 25 OctWanderers0 – 1ProgresoW
  • 17 OctProgreso2 – 0JuventudW
  • 10 OctPenarol1 – 1ProgresoD
  • 3 OctLiverpool Montevideo3 – 2ProgresoL
  • 26 SeptProgreso2 – 1Racing MontevideoW
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.8% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.8% · 1.8512.2% · 1.95
3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes42.4%
No57.6%

Double chance

1X71.1%
X228.9%

Match result

Club Nacional1.42
Draw4.75
Progreso6.25

Both teams to score

Yes42.4% · 2.2
No57.6% · 1.62

1X

Chance71.1%
Odds1.12

X2

Chance28.9%
Odds2.75

Club Nacional

Chance65.5%
Odds1.42

Draw

Chance19.6%
Odds4.75

Progreso

Chance14.9%
Odds6.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Club Nacional at 1.42

Club NacionalProgreso
Recent form59%41%
Attack58%42%
Defence55%45%
Goals model58%42%
Overall81%19%

Trends

Trend · Primera División

Club Nacional scored 1.8 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Primera División

Club Nacional conceded 0.8 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Primera División

Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

Trend · Primera División

Kept a clean sheet in 5 of those 10.

Club Nacional vs Progreso: prediction & preview

Uruguay · Primera División · Sun, 2 Aug 2026

Club Nacional meet Progreso in the Uruguay, Primera División on 2 August 2026 at 22:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Club Nacional at 1.42. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 65.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Club Nacional vs Progreso FAQs

4 questions

What time is Club Nacional vs Progreso?

Kickoff is 22:30 on 2 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Club Nacional vs Progreso?

Club Nacional is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.42. The margin-adjusted share is about 65.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.