Club Queretaro vs Toluca Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga MXSat, 22 Aug 2026

Club Queretaro

Sat, 22 Aug 202604:10

1 : 2

Full time

Toluca

Pre-match win probability

24%Club Queretaro25.6%Draw50.5%Toluca

Our prediction

Toluca

Toluca is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.9
Confidence50.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Club Queretaro 24%
  • Draw 25.6%
  • Toluca 50.5%

Season statistics

Liga MX · highlighted side is stronger

Club QueretaroToluca

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20% · 1.185.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.3% · 1.6510.7% · 2.2
3.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.7% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X39.6%
X260.4%

Match result

Club Queretaro4
Draw3.75
Toluca1.9

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance39.6%
Odds1.91

X2

Chance60.4%
Odds1.25

Club Queretaro

Chance24%
Odds4

Draw

Chance25.6%
Odds3.75

Toluca

Chance50.5%
Odds1.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Toluca at 1.9

Club QueretaroToluca
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall32%68%

Club Queretaro vs Toluca: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga MX · Sat, 22 Aug 2026

Club Queretaro meet Toluca in the Mexico, Liga MX on 22 August 2026 at 04:10 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Toluca at 1.9. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 50.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Club Queretaro vs Toluca FAQs

4 questions

What time is Club Queretaro vs Toluca?

Kickoff is 04:10 on 22 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Club Queretaro vs Toluca?

Toluca is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.9. The margin-adjusted share is about 50.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.65 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Club Queretaro vs Toluca prediction, H2H and stats