Comercial vs Noroeste Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Copa PaulistaSat, 18 Jul 2026

Comercial

Sat, 18 Jul 202620:00

2 : 0

Full time

Noroeste

Pre-match win probability

22.3%Comercial26.2%Draw51.5%Noroeste

Our prediction

Noroeste

Noroeste is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.73
Confidence51.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Comercial 22.3%
  • Draw 26.2%
  • Noroeste 51.5%

Season statistics

Copa Paulista · highlighted side is stronger

ComercialNoroeste

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals47.4% · 252.6% · 1.8

Double chance

1X38%
X262%

Match result

Comercial4
Draw3.4
Noroeste1.73

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance38%
Odds1.91

X2

Chance62%
Odds1.17

Comercial

Chance22.3%
Odds4

Draw

Chance26.2%
Odds3.4

Noroeste

Chance51.5%
Odds1.73

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Noroeste at 1.73

ComercialNoroeste
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall30%70%

Comercial vs Noroeste: prediction & preview

Brazil · Copa Paulista · Sat, 18 Jul 2026

Comercial meet Noroeste in the Brazil, Copa Paulista on 18 July 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Noroeste at 1.73. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 51.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Comercial vs Noroeste FAQs

4 questions

What time is Comercial vs Noroeste?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 18 July 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Comercial vs Noroeste?

Noroeste is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.73. The margin-adjusted share is about 51.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.

Comercial vs Noroeste prediction, H2H and stats