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Concarneau vs Bastia Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 3Sat, 17 Oct 2026

Concarneau

WDWWD

Sat, 17 Oct 202613:45

1 : 1

Full time

Bastia

DLDWL

Pre-match win probability

47.1%Concarneau27.2%Draw25.7%Bastia

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Concarneau

Concarneau vs Bastia listed tip from the board.

Odds1.73
Confidence47.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Concarneau 47.1%
  • Draw 27.2%
  • Bastia 25.7%

Season statistics

Ligue 3 · highlighted side is stronger

ConcarneauBastia

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.6% · 1.083.3% · 7
1.5 goals16.7% · 1.48.5% · 2.75
2.5 goals10.6% · 2.214.2% · 1.65
3.5 goals5.8% · 419.2% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes42.4%
No57.6%

Double chance

1X58.6%
X241.4%

Match result

Concarneau1.91
Draw3.3
Bastia3.5

Both teams to score

Yes42.4% · 2.2
No57.6% · 1.62

1X

Chance58.6%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance41.4%
Odds1.73

Concarneau

Chance47.1%
Odds1.91

Draw

Chance27.2%
Odds3.3

Bastia

Chance25.7%
Odds3.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.73

ConcarneauBastia
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall65%35%

Concarneau vs Bastia: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 3 · Sat, 17 Oct 2026

Concarneau meet Bastia in the France, Ligue 3 on 17 October 2026 at 13:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Concarneau at 1.91. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 47.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Concarneau vs Bastia FAQs

4 questions

What time is Concarneau vs Bastia?

Kickoff is 13:45 on 17 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Concarneau vs Bastia?

Concarneau is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.91. The margin-adjusted share is about 47.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.2 and under 2.5 is 1.65.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Concarneau vs Bastia prediction, H2H and stats