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Concarneau vs Thionville Lusitanos Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 3Sat, 5 Sept 2026

Concarneau

Sat, 5 Sept 202613:45

2 : 2

Full time

Thionville Lusitanos

Pre-match win probability

50.2%Concarneau26.6%Draw23.2%Thionville Lusitanos

Our prediction

Concarneau

Concarneau is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.8
Confidence50.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Concarneau 50.2%
  • Draw 26.6%
  • Thionville Lusitanos 23.2%

Season statistics

Ligue 3 · highlighted side is stronger

ConcarneauThionville Lusitanos

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.2% · 1.062.9% · 8
1.5 goals17.7% · 1.337.2% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.8% · 213.1% · 1.8
3.5 goals6.7% · 3.518.4% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes48.5%
No51.5%

Double chance

1X59.6%
X240.4%

Match result

Concarneau1.8
Draw3.4
Thionville Lusitanos3.9

Both teams to score

Yes48.5% · 1.91
No51.5% · 1.8

1X

Chance59.6%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance40.4%
Odds1.8

Concarneau

Chance50.2%
Odds1.8

Draw

Chance26.6%
Odds3.4

Thionville Lusitanos

Chance23.2%
Odds3.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Concarneau at 1.8

ConcarneauThionville Lusitanos
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall68%32%

Concarneau vs Thionville Lusitanos: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 3 · Sat, 5 Sept 2026

Concarneau meet Thionville Lusitanos in the France, Ligue 3 on 5 September 2026 at 13:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Concarneau at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 50.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Concarneau vs Thionville Lusitanos FAQs

4 questions

What time is Concarneau vs Thionville Lusitanos?

Kickoff is 13:45 on 5 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Concarneau vs Thionville Lusitanos?

Concarneau is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 50.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Concarneau vs Thionville Lusitanos prediction, H2H and stats