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Corinthians vs Penarol Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · CONMEBOL LibertadoresFri, 1 May 2026

Corinthians

WWDWD

Fri, 1 May 202601:00

2 : 0

Full time

Penarol

LDLLD

Pre-match win probability

58.6%Corinthians28.8%Draw12.7%Penarol

Our prediction

Home · Corinthians

Corinthians vs Penarol listed tip from the board.

Odds1.62
Confidence58.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Corinthians 58.6%
  • Draw 28.8%
  • Penarol 12.7%

Season statistics

CONMEBOL Libertadores · highlighted side is stronger

CorinthiansPenarol

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals20.6% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
1.5 goals14.9% · 1.5710.4% · 2.25
2.5 goals8.1% · 2.8816.8% · 1.4
3.5 goals3.9% · 621% · 1.12

Both teams to score

Yes35.5%
No64.5%

Double chance

1X67.2%
X232.8%

Match result

Corinthians1.62
Draw3.3
Penarol7.5

Both teams to score

Yes35.5% · 2.62
No64.5% · 1.44

1X

Chance67.2%
Odds1.1

X2

Chance32.8%
Odds2.25

Corinthians

Chance58.6%
Odds1.62

Draw

Chance28.8%
Odds3.3

Penarol

Chance12.7%
Odds7.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.62

CorinthiansPenarol
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall82%18%

Corinthians vs Penarol: prediction & preview

World · CONMEBOL Libertadores · Fri, 1 May 2026

Corinthians meet Penarol in the World, CONMEBOL Libertadores on 1 May 2026 at 01:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Corinthians at 1.62. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 58.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.4, about 67.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.44.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Corinthians vs Penarol FAQs

4 questions

What time is Corinthians vs Penarol?

Kickoff is 01:00 on 1 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Corinthians vs Penarol?

Corinthians is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.62. The margin-adjusted share is about 58.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.88 and under 2.5 is 1.4.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Corinthians vs Penarol prediction, H2H and stats