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Corinthians vs Sao Paulo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Paulista - A1Sun, 18 Jan 2026

Corinthians

5th in table · 14 pts

LLLDL

Sun, 18 Jan 202620:00

1 : 1

Full time

Sao Paulo

6th in table · 13 pts

Pre-match win probability

39.5%Corinthians30.3%Draw30.3%Sao Paulo

Our prediction

Corinthians

Corinthians is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.3
Confidence39.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Corinthians 39.5%
  • Draw 30.3%
  • Sao Paulo 30.3%

Season statistics

Paulista - A1 · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

CorinthiansSao Paulo
Goals scored (avg)
0.9–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2–
Wins
44
Played
88

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Corinthians0W 2D 8L in last 10
  • 24 OctVasco DA Gama3 – 2CorinthiansL
  • 20 OctCorinthians1 – 1VitoriaD
  • 11 OctPalmeiras4 – 1CorinthiansL
  • 7 OctInternacional2 – 1CorinthiansL
  • 20 SeptCorinthians1 – 3FluminenseL
Sao Paulo0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headCorinthians 2W · 1D · Sao Paulo 6W · 3.4 goals a game
    • 10 MayCorinthians3 – 2Sao Paulo
    • 20 NovCorinthians3 – 1Sao Paulo
    • 20 JulSao Paulo2 – 0Corinthians
    • 26 JanSao Paulo3 – 1Corinthians
    • 29 SeptSao Paulo3 – 1Corinthians
    • 16 JunCorinthians2 – 2Sao Paulo

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals21.4% · 1.13.4% · 7
    1.5 goals16.3% · 1.449% · 2.62
    2.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.7% · 1.5
    3.5 goals4.7% · 520.1% · 1.17

    Both teams to score

    Yes45.3%
    No54.7%

    Double chance

    1X52.2%
    X247.8%

    Match result

    Corinthians2.3
    Draw3
    Sao Paulo3

    Both teams to score

    Yes45.3% · 2.05
    No54.7% · 1.7

    1X

    Chance52.2%
    Odds1.4

    X2

    Chance47.8%
    Odds1.53

    Corinthians

    Chance39.5%
    Odds2.3

    Draw

    Chance30.3%
    Odds3

    Sao Paulo

    Chance30.3%
    Odds3

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Corinthians at 2.3

    CorinthiansSao Paulo
    Recent form67%33%
    Attack47%53%
    Defence50%50%
    Goals model47%53%
    Head-to-head28%72%
    Overall57%43%

    Trends

    Trend · Paulista - A1

    Corinthians scored 0.9 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Paulista - A1

    Corinthians conceded 2 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Paulista - A1

    Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

    Trend · Paulista - A1

    Over 2.5 goals in 6 of those 10.

    Corinthians vs Sao Paulo: prediction & preview

    Brazil · Paulista - A1 · Sun, 18 Jan 2026

    Corinthians meet Sao Paulo in the Brazil, Paulista - A1 on 18 January 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Corinthians at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.7.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Corinthians vs Sao Paulo FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Corinthians vs Sao Paulo?

    Kickoff is 20:00 on 18 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Corinthians vs Sao Paulo?

    Corinthians is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.5%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.5 and under 2.5 is 1.5.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 2.05. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.