Corinthians vs Sao Paulo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie ASun, 10 May 2026

Corinthians

DLWWW

Sun, 10 May 202622:30

3 : 2

Live

Sao Paulo

DDDWW

Pre-match win probability

48%Corinthians29.2%Draw22.8%Sao Paulo

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Corinthians

Corinthians vs Sao Paulo listed tip from the board.

Odds1.73
Confidence48%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Corinthians 48%
  • Draw 29.2%
  • Sao Paulo 22.8%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

CorinthiansSao Paulo

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.3% · 1.113.6% · 6.5
1.5 goals15.8% · 1.59% · 2.62
2.5 goals9.5% · 2.515.8% · 1.5
3.5 goals4.7% · 520.2% · 1.17

Both teams to score

Yes44.3%
No55.7%

Double chance

1X58.1%
X241.9%

Match result

Corinthians1.95
Draw3.2
Sao Paulo4.1

Both teams to score

Yes44.3% · 2.1
No55.7% · 1.67

1X

Chance58.1%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance41.9%
Odds1.73

Corinthians

Chance48%
Odds1.95

Draw

Chance29.2%
Odds3.2

Sao Paulo

Chance22.8%
Odds4.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.73

CorinthiansSao Paulo
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall68%32%

Corinthians vs Sao Paulo: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Sun, 10 May 2026

Corinthians meet Sao Paulo in the Brazil, Serie A on 10 May 2026 at 22:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Corinthians at 1.95. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 48% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Corinthians vs Sao Paulo FAQs

4 questions

What time is Corinthians vs Sao Paulo?

Kickoff is 22:30 on 10 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Corinthians vs Sao Paulo?

Corinthians is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.95. The margin-adjusted share is about 48%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.5 and under 2.5 is 1.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Corinthians vs Sao Paulo prediction, H2H and stats