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Coventry vs Aston Villa Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · League CupWed, 16 Sept 2026

Coventry

Wed, 16 Sept 202620:00

1 : 3

Full time

Aston Villa

Pre-match win probability

28.7%Coventry26.3%Draw45.1%Aston Villa

Our prediction

Aston Villa

Aston Villa is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.1
Confidence45.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Coventry 28.7%
  • Draw 26.3%
  • Aston Villa 45.1%

Season statistics

League Cup · highlighted side is stronger

CoventryAston Villa

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.2% · 1.021.4% · 17
1.5 goals20.2% · 1.174.7% · 5
2.5 goals15.1% · 1.5710.1% · 2.35
3.5 goals9.9% · 2.3815.5% · 1.53

Both teams to score

Yes62.5%
No37.5%

Double chance

1X44.9%
X255.1%

Match result

Coventry3.3
Draw3.6
Aston Villa2.1

Both teams to score

Yes62.5% · 1.5
No37.5% · 2.5

1X

Chance44.9%
Odds1.67

X2

Chance55.1%
Odds1.36

Coventry

Chance28.7%
Odds3.3

Draw

Chance26.3%
Odds3.6

Aston Villa

Chance45.1%
Odds2.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Aston Villa at 2.1

CoventryAston Villa
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall39%61%

Coventry vs Aston Villa: prediction & preview

England · League Cup · Wed, 16 Sept 2026

Coventry meet Aston Villa in the England, League Cup on 16 September 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Aston Villa at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 45.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Coventry vs Aston Villa FAQs

4 questions

What time is Coventry vs Aston Villa?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 16 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Coventry vs Aston Villa?

Aston Villa is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 45.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.35.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Coventry vs Aston Villa prediction, H2H and stats