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Croatia vs Spain Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Nations LeagueTue, 6 Oct 2026

Croatia

Tue, 6 Oct 202619:45

1 : 2

Full time

Spain

Pre-match win probability

10.4%Croatia14.4%Draw75.1%Spain

Our prediction

Away · Croatia

Croatia vs Spain listed tip from the board.

Odds1.25
Confidence75.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Croatia 10.4%
  • Draw 14.4%
  • Spain 75.1%

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · highlighted side is stronger

CroatiaSpain

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.4% · 1.011.1% · 21
1.5 goals21.1% · 1.123.9% · 6
2.5 goals16.4% · 1.448.7% · 2.7
3.5 goals11.2% · 2.114.1% · 1.67

Both teams to score

Yes53.6%
No46.4%

Double chance

1X22.4%
X277.6%

Match result

Croatia9
Draw6.5
Spain1.25

Both teams to score

Yes53.6% · 1.73
No46.4% · 2

1X

Chance22.4%
Odds3.75

X2

Chance77.6%
Odds1.08

Croatia

Chance10.4%
Odds9

Draw

Chance14.4%
Odds6.5

Spain

Chance75.1%
Odds1.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 1.25

CroatiaSpain
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall12%88%

Croatia vs Spain: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Nations League · Tue, 6 Oct 2026

Croatia meet Spain in the World, UEFA Nations League on 6 October 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Spain at 1.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 75.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.44, about 65.2% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Croatia vs Spain FAQs

4 questions

What time is Croatia vs Spain?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 6 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Croatia vs Spain?

Spain is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 75.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.44 and under 2.5 is 2.7.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.73. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.