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Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Chivas Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga MXThu, 14 May 2026

Cruz Azul

WWWDD

Thu, 14 May 202603:00

2 : 2

Full time

Guadalajara Chivas

WLDDW

Pre-match win probability

43%Cruz Azul27.8%Draw29.1%Guadalajara Chivas

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Cruz Azul

Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Chivas listed tip from the board.

Odds1.3
Confidence43%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Cruz Azul 43%
  • Draw 27.8%
  • Guadalajara Chivas 29.1%

Season statistics

Liga MX · highlighted side is stronger

Cruz AzulGuadalajara Chivas

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.8% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.8% · 1.85
3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes53.3%
No46.7%

Double chance

1X56.2%
X243.8%

Match result

Cruz Azul2.2
Draw3.4
Guadalajara Chivas3.25

Both teams to score

Yes53.3% · 1.75
No46.7% · 2

1X

Chance56.2%
Odds1.3

X2

Chance43.8%
Odds1.67

Cruz Azul

Chance43%
Odds2.2

Draw

Chance27.8%
Odds3.4

Guadalajara Chivas

Chance29.1%
Odds3.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.3

Cruz AzulGuadalajara Chivas
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall60%40%

Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Chivas: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga MX · Thu, 14 May 2026

Cruz Azul meet Guadalajara Chivas in the Mexico, Liga MX on 14 May 2026 at 03:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Cruz Azul at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Chivas FAQs

4 questions

What time is Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Chivas?

Kickoff is 03:00 on 14 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Chivas?

Cruz Azul is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 43%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.75. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Chivas prediction, H2H and stats