Cruz Azul vs Necaxa Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga MXMon, 27 Apr 2026

Cruz Azul

DDDLD

Mon, 27 Apr 202602:05

4 : 1

Full time

Necaxa

DDLWW

Pre-match win probability

70.9%Cruz Azul18%Draw11.1%Necaxa

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Cruz Azul

Cruz Azul vs Necaxa listed tip from the board.

Odds1.08
Confidence70.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Cruz Azul 70.9%
  • Draw 18%
  • Necaxa 11.1%

Season statistics

Liga MX · highlighted side is stronger

Cruz AzulNecaxa

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.2% · 1.021.4% · 17
1.5 goals20.7% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
2.5 goals16% · 1.489.1% · 2.6
3.5 goals10.7% · 2.214.6% · 1.62

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X75.1%
X224.9%

Match result

Cruz Azul1.33
Draw5.25
Necaxa8.5

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance75.1%
Odds1.08

X2

Chance24.9%
Odds3.25

Cruz Azul

Chance70.9%
Odds1.33

Draw

Chance18%
Odds5.25

Necaxa

Chance11.1%
Odds8.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.08

Cruz AzulNecaxa
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall86%14%

Cruz Azul vs Necaxa: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga MX · Mon, 27 Apr 2026

Cruz Azul meet Necaxa in the Mexico, Liga MX on 27 April 2026 at 02:05 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Cruz Azul at 1.33. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 70.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.48, about 63.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Cruz Azul vs Necaxa FAQs

4 questions

What time is Cruz Azul vs Necaxa?

Kickoff is 02:05 on 27 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Cruz Azul vs Necaxa?

Cruz Azul is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.33. The margin-adjusted share is about 70.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.48 and under 2.5 is 2.6.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Cruz Azul vs Necaxa prediction, H2H and stats