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Cruz Azul vs Toluca Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga MXSat, 26 Sept 2026

Cruz Azul

LLWWW

Sat, 26 Sept 202623:50

2 : 0

Half time

Toluca

LWWWW

Pre-match win probability

36%Cruz Azul27%Draw37%Toluca

Our prediction

Away · Cruz Azul

Cruz Azul vs Toluca listed tip from the board.

Odds2.55
Confidence37%
ResultLive
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Cruz Azul 36%
  • Draw 27%
  • Toluca 37%

Season statistics

Liga MX · highlighted side is stronger

Cruz AzulToluca

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20.2% · 1.174.7% · 5
2.5 goals15% · 1.5710% · 2.35
3.5 goals10.5% · 2.2515% · 1.57

Both teams to score

Yes62.5%
No37.5%

Double chance

1X50%
X250%

Match result

Cruz Azul2.62
Draw3.5
Toluca2.55

Both teams to score

Yes62.5% · 1.5
No37.5% · 2.5

1X

Chance50%
Odds1.5

X2

Chance50%
Odds1.5

Cruz Azul

Chance36%
Odds2.62

Draw

Chance27%
Odds3.5

Toluca

Chance37%
Odds2.55

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 2.55

Cruz AzulToluca
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall49%51%

Cruz Azul vs Toluca: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga MX · Sat, 26 Sept 2026

Cruz Azul meet Toluca in the Mexico, Liga MX on 26 September 2026 at 23:50 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Toluca at 2.55. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Cruz Azul vs Toluca FAQs

4 questions

What time is Cruz Azul vs Toluca?

Kickoff is 23:50 on 26 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Cruz Azul vs Toluca?

Toluca is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.55. The margin-adjusted share is about 37%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.35.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.