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Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie AThu, 8 Oct 2026

Cruzeiro

LWLWW

Thu, 8 Oct 202601:30

2 : 0

Full time

Sao Paulo

WLWWD

Pre-match win probability

51.5%Cruzeiro26.5%Draw22%Sao Paulo

Our prediction

Draw · Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo listed tip from the board.

Odds3.6
Confidence51.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Cruzeiro 51.5%
  • Draw 26.5%
  • Sao Paulo 22%

Season statistics

Serie A · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

CruzeiroSao Paulo
Goals scored (avg)
1.91
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.80.9

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Cruzeiro4W 1D 4L in last 9
  • 24 OctCruzeiro1 – 0RemoW
  • 18 OctGremio2 – 4CruzeiroW
  • 13 OctRB Bragantino4 – 2CruzeiroL
  • 20 SeptVitoria1 – 3CruzeiroW
  • 13 SeptSantos2 – 1CruzeiroL
Sao Paulo4W 2D 3L in last 9
  • 24 OctMirassol1 – 1Sao PauloD
  • 18 OctSao Paulo1 – 0Vasco DA GamaW
  • 11 OctSao Paulo2 – 1VitoriaW
  • 3 OctSao Paulo1 – 2SantosL
  • 20 SeptSao Paulo1 – 0InternacionalW
H2H
Head to headCruzeiro 3W · 2D · Sao Paulo 4W · 1.8 goals a game
  • 4 AprSao Paulo4 – 1Cruzeiro
  • 31 AugCruzeiro1 – 0Sao Paulo
  • 13 AprSao Paulo1 – 1Cruzeiro
  • 16 JanCruzeiro1 – 1Sao Paulo
  • 15 SeptCruzeiro0 – 1Sao Paulo
  • 2 JunSao Paulo2 – 0Cruzeiro

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals18.3% · 1.36.8% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.2% · 1.9512.9% · 1.85
3.5 goals7% · 3.417.9% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X63.5%
X236.5%

Match result

Cruzeiro1.85
Draw3.6
Sao Paulo4.33

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.91
No50% · 1.91

1X

Chance63.5%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance36.5%
Odds2.05

Cruzeiro

Chance51.5%
Odds1.85

Draw

Chance26.5%
Odds3.6

Sao Paulo

Chance22%
Odds4.33

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 3.6

CruzeiroSao Paulo
Recent form48%52%
Attack66%34%
Defence36%64%
Goals model66%34%
Head-to-head44%56%
Overall70%30%

Trends

Trend · Serie A

Cruzeiro scored 1.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Cruzeiro conceded 1.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

Trend · Serie A

Over 2.5 goals in 7 of those 9.

Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Thu, 8 Oct 2026

Cruzeiro meet Sao Paulo in the Brazil, Serie A on 8 October 2026 at 01:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Cruzeiro at 1.85. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 51.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.91.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo FAQs

4 questions

What time is Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo?

Kickoff is 01:30 on 8 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo?

Cruzeiro is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.85. The margin-adjusted share is about 51.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.