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CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Europa LeagueThu, 30 Jul 2026

CSKA Sofia

WLWDW

Thu, 30 Jul 202619:00

0 : 0

Full time

Qarabag

DWWDD

Pre-match win probability

34.5%CSKA Sofia29.1%Draw36.5%Qarabag

Our prediction

Qarabag

Qarabag is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.55
Confidence36.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • CSKA Sofia 34.5%
  • Draw 29.1%
  • Qarabag 36.5%

Season statistics

UEFA Europa League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

CSKA SofiaQarabag
Goals scored (avg)
2.21.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.11.1

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

CSKA Sofia6W 3D 1L in last 10
  • 26 OctCSKA Sofia2 – 0LudogoretsW
  • 22 OctFC Nordsjaelland2 – 2CSKA SofiaD
  • 18 OctNesebar0 – 2CSKA SofiaW
  • 15 OctCSKA Sofia1 – 2MonacoL
  • 11 OctCSKA 19482 – 3CSKA SofiaW
Qarabag6W 3D 1L in last 10
  • 25 OctSabah FA0 – 0QarabagD
  • 17 OctQarabag3 – 3Neftchi BakuD
  • 11 OctImisli FK0 – 2QarabagW
  • 18 SeptQarabag1 – 0Safa BakuW
  • 13 SeptZira1 – 1QarabagD
H2H
Head to headCSKA Sofia 0W · 1D · Qarabag 2W · 0.7 goals a game
  • 23 JulQarabag0 – 0CSKA Sofia
  • 4 JulCSKA Sofia0 – 1Qarabag
  • 7 JulCSKA Sofia0 – 1Qarabag

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.9% · 1.073.1% · 7.5
1.5 goals17.2% · 1.367.8% · 3
2.5 goals10.9% · 2.1514% · 1.67
3.5 goals5.9% · 419.2% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X51%
X249%

Match result

CSKA Sofia2.7
Draw3.2
Qarabag2.55

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance51%
Odds1.44

X2

Chance49%
Odds1.5

CSKA Sofia

Chance34.5%
Odds2.7

Draw

Chance29.1%
Odds3.2

Qarabag

Chance36.5%
Odds2.55

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Qarabag at 2.55

CSKA SofiaQarabag
Recent form50%50%
Attack58%42%
Defence50%50%
Goals model58%42%
Head-to-head17%83%
Overall49%51%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Europa League

CSKA Sofia scored 2.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · UEFA Europa League

CSKA Sofia conceded 1.1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · UEFA Europa League

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

Trend · UEFA Europa League

Over 2.5 goals in 5 of those 10.

CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Europa League · Thu, 30 Jul 2026

CSKA Sofia meet Qarabag in the World, UEFA Europa League on 30 July 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Qarabag at 2.55. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 36.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag FAQs

4 questions

What time is CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 30 July 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag?

Qarabag is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.55. The margin-adjusted share is about 36.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.15 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.