Danubio vs Penarol Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Copa UruguayThu, 24 Sept 2026

Danubio

Thu, 24 Sept 202619:30

1 : 1

Full time

Penarol

Pre-match win probability

40%Danubio29%Draw31%Penarol

Our prediction

Danubio

Danubio is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.25
Confidence40%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Danubio 40%
  • Draw 29%
  • Penarol 31%

Season statistics

Copa Uruguay · highlighted side is stronger

DanubioPenarol

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.6% · 1.083.3% · 7
1.5 goals16.7% · 1.48.5% · 2.75
2.5 goals10.6% · 2.214.2% · 1.65
3.5 goals5.8% · 419.2% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes46.4%
No53.6%

Double chance

1X42.2%
X257.8%

Match result

Danubio2.25
Draw3.1
Penarol2.9

Both teams to score

Yes46.4% · 2
No53.6% · 1.73

1X

Chance42.2%
Odds1.67

X2

Chance57.8%
Odds1.22

Danubio

Chance40%
Odds2.25

Draw

Chance29%
Odds3.1

Penarol

Chance31%
Odds2.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Danubio at 2.25

DanubioPenarol
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall56%44%

Danubio vs Penarol: prediction & preview

Uruguay · Copa Uruguay · Thu, 24 Sept 2026

Danubio meet Penarol in the Uruguay, Copa Uruguay on 24 September 2026 at 19:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Danubio at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Danubio vs Penarol FAQs

4 questions

What time is Danubio vs Penarol?

Kickoff is 19:30 on 24 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Danubio vs Penarol?

Danubio is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 40%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.2 and under 2.5 is 1.65.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Danubio vs Penarol prediction, H2H and stats