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Danubio vs Progreso Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Primera DivisiónSat, 30 May 2026

Danubio

WLWWL

Sat, 30 May 202619:00

1 : 2

Full time

Progreso

Pre-match win probability

48.8%Danubio26.5%Draw24.7%Progreso

Our prediction

Danubio

Danubio is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.9
Confidence48.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Danubio 48.8%
  • Draw 26.5%
  • Progreso 24.7%

Season statistics

Primera División · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

DanubioProgreso
Goals scored (avg)
1.3–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.2–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Danubio3W 3D 4L in last 10
  • 24 OctDeportivo Maldonado2 – 1DanubioL
  • 18 OctDanubio1 – 0Central EspanolW
  • 15 OctCentral Espanol0 – 6DanubioW
  • 9 OctAtletico Torque1 – 0DanubioL
  • 4 OctDanubio2 – 1Cerro LargoW
Progreso0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headDanubio 1W · 5D · Progreso 3W · 1.8 goals a game
    • 29 AugProgreso1 – 0Danubio
    • 28 FebDanubio2 – 2Progreso
    • 24 AugProgreso1 – 0Danubio
    • 31 MayProgreso0 – 1Danubio
    • 23 FebDanubio1 – 1Progreso
    • 12 OctProgreso0 – 0Danubio

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.2% · 1.062.4% · 10
    1.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.9% · 3
    2.5 goals11.2% · 2.113.9% · 1.7
    3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.9% · 1.25

    Both teams to score

    Yes48.5%
    No51.5%

    Double chance

    1X59.4%
    X240.6%

    Match result

    Danubio1.9
    Draw3.5
    Progreso3.75

    Both teams to score

    Yes48.5% · 1.91
    No51.5% · 1.8

    1X

    Chance59.4%
    Odds1.25

    X2

    Chance40.6%
    Odds1.83

    Danubio

    Chance48.8%
    Odds1.9

    Draw

    Chance26.5%
    Odds3.5

    Progreso

    Chance24.7%
    Odds3.75

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Danubio at 1.9

    DanubioProgreso
    Recent form92%8%
    Attack57%43%
    Defence64%36%
    Goals model57%43%
    Head-to-head39%61%
    Overall66%34%

    Trends

    Trend · Primera División

    Danubio scored 1.3 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Primera División

    Danubio conceded 1.2 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Primera División

    Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

    Trend · Primera División

    Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

    Danubio vs Progreso: prediction & preview

    Uruguay · Primera División · Sat, 30 May 2026

    Danubio meet Progreso in the Uruguay, Primera División on 30 May 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Danubio at 1.9. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 48.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Danubio vs Progreso FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Danubio vs Progreso?

    Kickoff is 19:00 on 30 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Danubio vs Progreso?

    Danubio is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.9. The margin-adjusted share is about 48.8%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.