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Defensor Sporting vs Cerro Largo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Primera DivisiónSat, 21 Feb 2026

Defensor Sporting

LLLLD

Sat, 21 Feb 202601:30

1 : 0

Full time

Cerro Largo

LWLDW

Pre-match win probability

45.6%Defensor Sporting29.7%Draw24.7%Cerro Largo

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Defensor Sporting

Defensor Sporting vs Cerro Largo listed tip from the board.

Odds1.25
Confidence45.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Defensor Sporting 45.6%
  • Draw 29.7%
  • Cerro Largo 24.7%

Season statistics

Primera División · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Defensor SportingCerro Largo
Goals scored (avg)
1.3–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.6–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Defensor Sporting2W 3D 5L in last 10
  • 24 OctDefensor Sporting3 – 3Racing MontevideoD
  • 17 OctBoston River1 – 0Defensor SportingL
  • 10 OctDefensor Sporting2 – 3CerroL
  • 3 OctAlbion FC3 – 2Defensor SportingL
  • 30 SeptDefensor Sporting0 – 1Plaza ColoniaL
Cerro Largo0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals21.7% · 1.082.9% · 8
    1.5 goals16.3% · 1.448.9% · 2.62
    2.5 goals9.8% · 2.415.3% · 1.53
    3.5 goals5.2% · 4.519.9% · 1.18

    Both teams to score

    Yes44.3%
    No55.7%

    Double chance

    1X58.1%
    X241.9%

    Match result

    Defensor Sporting1.95
    Draw3
    Cerro Largo3.6

    Both teams to score

    Yes44.3% · 2.1
    No55.7% · 1.67

    1X

    Chance58.1%
    Odds1.25

    X2

    Chance41.9%
    Odds1.73

    Defensor Sporting

    Chance45.6%
    Odds1.95

    Draw

    Chance29.7%
    Odds3

    Cerro Largo

    Chance24.7%
    Odds3.6

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.25

    Defensor SportingCerro Largo
    Recent form90%10%
    Attack57%43%
    Defence58%42%
    Goals model57%43%
    Overall65%35%

    Trends

    Trend · Primera División

    Defensor Sporting scored 1.3 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Primera División

    Defensor Sporting conceded 1.6 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Primera División

    Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

    Trend · Primera División

    Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

    Defensor Sporting vs Cerro Largo: prediction & preview

    Uruguay · Primera División · Sat, 21 Feb 2026

    Defensor Sporting meet Cerro Largo in the Uruguay, Primera División on 21 February 2026 at 01:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Defensor Sporting at 1.95. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 45.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.53, about 61.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Defensor Sporting vs Cerro Largo FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Defensor Sporting vs Cerro Largo?

    Kickoff is 01:30 on 21 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Defensor Sporting vs Cerro Largo?

    Defensor Sporting is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.95. The margin-adjusted share is about 45.6%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.4 and under 2.5 is 1.53.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

    Defensor Sporting vs Cerro Largo prediction, H2H and stats