Get Premium

Defensor Sporting vs Danubio Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Primera DivisiónSun, 27 Sept 2026

Defensor Sporting

14th in table · 36 pts

LLLLD

Sun, 27 Sept 202622:00

1 : 0

Full time

Danubio

16th in table · 32 pts

WLWWL

Pre-match win probability

40.5%Defensor Sporting30.7%Draw28.8%Danubio

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Defensor Sporting

Defensor Sporting vs Danubio listed tip from the board.

Odds1.33
Confidence40.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Defensor Sporting 40.5%
  • Draw 30.7%
  • Danubio 28.8%

Season statistics

Primera División · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Defensor SportingDanubio
Goals scored (avg)
1.31.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.81.2
Wins
86
Played
3434

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Defensor Sporting1W 3D 5L in last 9
  • 24 OctDefensor Sporting3 – 3Racing MontevideoD
  • 17 OctBoston River1 – 0Defensor SportingL
  • 10 OctDefensor Sporting2 – 3CerroL
  • 3 OctAlbion FC3 – 2Defensor SportingL
  • 30 SeptDefensor Sporting0 – 1Plaza ColoniaL
Danubio3W 3D 3L in last 9
  • 24 OctDeportivo Maldonado2 – 1DanubioL
  • 18 OctDanubio1 – 0Central EspanolW
  • 15 OctCentral Espanol0 – 6DanubioW
  • 9 OctAtletico Torque1 – 0DanubioL
  • 4 OctDanubio2 – 1Cerro LargoW
H2H
Head to headDefensor Sporting 4W · 4D · Danubio 1W · 1.8 goals a game
  • 26 MarDanubio0 – 0Defensor Sporting
  • 20 SeptDefensor Sporting2 – 1Danubio
  • 27 MarDanubio1 – 1Defensor Sporting
  • 5 OctDanubio1 – 1Defensor Sporting
  • 30 MarDefensor Sporting1 – 0Danubio
  • 15 MarDefensor Sporting1 – 0Danubio

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.8% · 1.082.9% · 8
1.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.8% · 3
2.5 goals10.9% · 2.1514.1% · 1.67
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.8% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X54.9%
X245.1%

Match result

Defensor Sporting2.2
Draw2.9
Danubio3.1

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance54.9%
Odds1.33

X2

Chance45.1%
Odds1.62

Defensor Sporting

Chance40.5%
Odds2.2

Draw

Chance30.7%
Odds2.9

Danubio

Chance28.8%
Odds3.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.33

Defensor SportingDanubio
Recent form33%67%
Attack48%52%
Defence40%60%
Goals model48%52%
Head-to-head67%33%
Overall58%42%

Trends

Trend · Primera División

Defensor Sporting scored 1.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primera División

Defensor Sporting conceded 1.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primera División

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Primera División

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

Defensor Sporting vs Danubio: prediction & preview

Uruguay · Primera División · Sun, 27 Sept 2026

Defensor Sporting meet Danubio in the Uruguay, Primera División on 27 September 2026 at 22:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Defensor Sporting at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Defensor Sporting vs Danubio FAQs

4 questions

What time is Defensor Sporting vs Danubio?

Kickoff is 22:00 on 27 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Defensor Sporting vs Danubio?

Defensor Sporting is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.15 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Defensor Sporting vs Danubio prediction, H2H and stats