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Defensor Sporting vs Penarol Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Primera DivisiónSun, 24 May 2026

Defensor Sporting

Sun, 24 May 202622:30

0 : 2

Full time

Penarol

Pre-match win probability

28.5%Defensor Sporting28.5%Draw43%Penarol

Our prediction

Penarol

Penarol is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.15
Confidence43%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Defensor Sporting 28.5%
  • Draw 28.5%
  • Penarol 43%

Season statistics

Primera División · highlighted side is stronger

Defensor SportingPenarol

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.9% · 3
2.5 goals10.7% · 2.214.3% · 1.65
3.5 goals5.9% · 419.3% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes48.5%
No51.5%

Double chance

1X45.6%
X254.4%

Match result

Defensor Sporting3.25
Draw3.25
Penarol2.15

Both teams to score

Yes48.5% · 1.91
No51.5% · 1.8

1X

Chance45.6%
Odds1.62

X2

Chance54.4%
Odds1.36

Defensor Sporting

Chance28.5%
Odds3.25

Draw

Chance28.5%
Odds3.25

Penarol

Chance43%
Odds2.15

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Penarol at 2.15

Defensor SportingPenarol
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall40%60%

Defensor Sporting vs Penarol: prediction & preview

Uruguay · Primera División · Sun, 24 May 2026

Defensor Sporting meet Penarol in the Uruguay, Primera División on 24 May 2026 at 22:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Penarol at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Defensor Sporting vs Penarol FAQs

4 questions

What time is Defensor Sporting vs Penarol?

Kickoff is 22:30 on 24 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Defensor Sporting vs Penarol?

Penarol is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 43%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.2 and under 2.5 is 1.65.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Defensor Sporting vs Penarol prediction, H2H and stats