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Defensor Sporting vs Progreso Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Primera DivisiónMon, 27 Apr 2026

Defensor Sporting

14th in table · 36 pts

LLLLD

Mon, 27 Apr 202623:30

0 : 0

Live

Progreso

15th in table · 35 pts

WLDWW

Pre-match win probability

48.1%Defensor Sporting29.7%Draw22.2%Progreso

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Defensor Sporting

Defensor Sporting vs Progreso listed tip from the board.

Odds1.2
Confidence48.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Defensor Sporting 48.1%
  • Draw 29.7%
  • Progreso 22.2%

Season statistics

Primera División · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Defensor SportingProgreso
Goals scored (avg)
1.31.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.61.2
Wins
810
Played
3434

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Defensor Sporting2W 3D 5L in last 10
  • 24 OctDefensor Sporting3 – 3Racing MontevideoD
  • 17 OctBoston River1 – 0Defensor SportingL
  • 10 OctDefensor Sporting2 – 3CerroL
  • 3 OctAlbion FC3 – 2Defensor SportingL
  • 30 SeptDefensor Sporting0 – 1Plaza ColoniaL
Progreso5W 1D 4L in last 10
  • 25 OctWanderers0 – 1ProgresoW
  • 17 OctProgreso2 – 0JuventudW
  • 10 OctPenarol1 – 1ProgresoD
  • 3 OctLiverpool Montevideo3 – 2ProgresoL
  • 26 SeptProgreso2 – 1Racing MontevideoW
H2H
Head to headDefensor Sporting 4W · 4D · Progreso 1W · 3.3 goals a game
  • 12 JanDefensor Sporting0 – 0Progreso
  • 19 OctProgreso2 – 3Defensor Sporting
  • 20 AprDefensor Sporting1 – 2Progreso
  • 14 NovDefensor Sporting3 – 0Progreso
  • 16 JunDefensor Sporting1 – 1Progreso
  • 12 MayProgreso1 – 4Defensor Sporting

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.8% · 3
2.5 goals10.9% · 2.1514.1% · 1.67
3.5 goals5.9% · 419.3% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes46.4%
No53.6%

Double chance

1X60.4%
X239.6%

Match result

Defensor Sporting1.85
Draw3
Progreso4

Both teams to score

Yes46.4% · 2
No53.6% · 1.73

1X

Chance60.4%
Odds1.2

X2

Chance39.6%
Odds1.83

Defensor Sporting

Chance48.1%
Odds1.85

Draw

Chance29.7%
Odds3

Progreso

Chance22.2%
Odds4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.2

Defensor SportingProgreso
Recent form36%64%
Attack50%50%
Defence44%56%
Goals model50%50%
Head-to-head67%33%
Overall68%32%

Trends

Trend · Primera División

Defensor Sporting scored 1.3 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Primera División

Defensor Sporting conceded 1.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Primera División

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · Primera División

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

Defensor Sporting vs Progreso: prediction & preview

Uruguay · Primera División · Mon, 27 Apr 2026

Defensor Sporting meet Progreso in the Uruguay, Primera División on 27 April 2026 at 23:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Defensor Sporting at 1.85. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 48.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Defensor Sporting vs Progreso FAQs

4 questions

What time is Defensor Sporting vs Progreso?

Kickoff is 23:30 on 27 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Defensor Sporting vs Progreso?

Defensor Sporting is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.85. The margin-adjusted share is about 48.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.15 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.