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Denbigh Town vs Porthmadog Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Wales · FAW ChampionshipFri, 21 Aug 2026

Denbigh Town

13th in table · 10 pts

WLLWL

Fri, 21 Aug 202619:45

2 : 3

Full time

Porthmadog

3rd in table · 23 pts

WWWLL

Pre-match win probability

49%Denbigh Town23%Draw28%Porthmadog

Our prediction

Denbigh Town

Denbigh Town is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.83
Confidence49%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Denbigh Town 49%
  • Draw 23%
  • Porthmadog 28%

Season statistics

FAW Championship · 8 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Denbigh TownPorthmadog
Goals scored (avg)
1.51.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
21.3
Wins
37
Played
1112

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Denbigh Town2W 1D 5L in last 8
  • 16 OctDenbigh Town0 – 2Bangor City 1876 FCL
  • 10 OctGuilsfield0 – 2Denbigh TownW
  • 2 OctDenbigh Town2 – 4Holyhead HotspurL
  • 26 SeptBrickfield Rangers2 – 0Denbigh TownL
  • 11 SeptDenbigh Town5 – 2Bala TownW
Porthmadog4W 1D 4L in last 9
  • 24 OctPorthmadog0 – 1Brickfield RangersL
  • 16 OctGAP Connah S Quay FC4 – 0PorthmadogL
  • 10 OctGresford Athletic0 – 1PorthmadogW
  • 3 OctPorthmadog1 – 0Bangor City 1876 FCW
  • 26 SeptNewtown AFC0 – 1PorthmadogW
H2H
Head to headDenbigh Town 2W · 1D · Porthmadog 1W · 4 goals a game
  • 24 SeptPorthmadog2 – 2Denbigh Town
  • 20 SeptPorthmadog1 – 4Denbigh Town
  • 2 FebDenbigh Town3 – 1Porthmadog
  • 30 SeptPorthmadog2 – 1Denbigh Town

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals60.9% · 1.5339.1% · 2.38

Double chance

1X58.4%
X241.6%

Match result

Denbigh Town1.83
Draw3.9
Porthmadog3.2

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance58.4%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance41.6%
Odds1.8

Denbigh Town

Chance49%
Odds1.83

Draw

Chance23%
Odds3.9

Porthmadog

Chance28%
Odds3.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Denbigh Town at 1.83

Denbigh TownPorthmadog
Recent form35%65%
Attack58%42%
Defence37%63%
Goals model58%42%
Head-to-head63%37%
Overall64%36%

Trends

Trend · FAW Championship

Denbigh Town scored 1.5 per game in the last 8.

Trend · FAW Championship

Denbigh Town conceded 2 per game in the last 8.

Trend · FAW Championship

Failed to score in 3 of those 8.

Trend · FAW Championship

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 8.

Denbigh Town vs Porthmadog: prediction & preview

Wales · FAW Championship · Fri, 21 Aug 2026

Denbigh Town meet Porthmadog in the Wales, FAW Championship on 21 August 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Denbigh Town at 1.83. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 49% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.53, about 60.9% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Denbigh Town vs Porthmadog FAQs

4 questions

What time is Denbigh Town vs Porthmadog?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 21 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Denbigh Town vs Porthmadog?

Denbigh Town is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.83. The margin-adjusted share is about 49%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.53 and under 2.5 is 2.38.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.