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Dender vs Union St. Gilloise Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Belgium · CupWed, 14 Jan 2026

Dender

DLLWW

Wed, 14 Jan 202620:30

0 : 2

Full time

Union St. Gilloise

DWDLD

Pre-match win probability

20.4%Dender24.5%Draw55.1%Union St. Gilloise

Our prediction

Away · Dender

Dender vs Union St. Gilloise listed tip from the board.

Odds1.67
Confidence55.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Dender 20.4%
  • Draw 24.5%
  • Union St. Gilloise 55.1%

Season statistics

Cup · highlighted side is stronger

DenderUnion St. Gilloise

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.8% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.8% · 1.8512.1% · 1.95
3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X36.7%
X263.3%

Match result

Dender4.5
Draw3.75
Union St. Gilloise1.67

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance36.7%
Odds2.1

X2

Chance63.3%
Odds1.22

Dender

Chance20.4%
Odds4.5

Draw

Chance24.5%
Odds3.75

Union St. Gilloise

Chance55.1%
Odds1.67

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 1.67

DenderUnion St. Gilloise
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall27%73%

Dender vs Union St. Gilloise: prediction & preview

Belgium · Cup · Wed, 14 Jan 2026

Dender meet Union St. Gilloise in the Belgium, Cup on 14 January 2026 at 20:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Union St. Gilloise at 1.67. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 55.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Dender vs Union St. Gilloise FAQs

4 questions

What time is Dender vs Union St. Gilloise?

Kickoff is 20:30 on 14 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Dender vs Union St. Gilloise?

Union St. Gilloise is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.67. The margin-adjusted share is about 55.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Dender vs Union St. Gilloise prediction, H2H and stats