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Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Nacional Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Colombia · Primera ASun, 17 May 2026

Deportes Tolima

Sun, 17 May 202600:00

0 : 1

Full time

Atletico Nacional

WWLWW

Pre-match win probability

34.1%Deportes Tolima30.2%Draw35.7%Atletico Nacional

Our prediction

Atletico Nacional

Atletico Nacional is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.62
Confidence35.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Deportes Tolima 34.1%
  • Draw 30.2%
  • Atletico Nacional 35.7%

Season statistics

Primera A · highlighted side is stronger

Deportes TolimaAtletico Nacional
Goals scored (avg)
–1.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Deportes Tolima0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Atletico Nacional5W 3D 2L in last 10
    • 26 OctAtletico Nacional2 – 1Independiente MedellinW
    • 23 OctAtletico Nacional3 – 0Deportivo PastoW
    • 21 OctCucuta1 – 0Atletico NacionalL
    • 17 OctChico1 – 4Atletico NacionalW
    • 15 OctAtletico Nacional3 – 2Independiente MedellinW
    H2H
    Head to headDeportes Tolima 2W · 3D · Atletico Nacional 4W · 2.3 goals a game
    • 9 OctAtletico Nacional0 – 0Deportes Tolima
    • 24 MayAtletico Nacional3 – 1Deportes Tolima
    • 2 MarDeportes Tolima1 – 0Atletico Nacional
    • 3 AugDeportes Tolima0 – 0Atletico Nacional
    • 20 MarAtletico Nacional4 – 3Deportes Tolima
    • 23 DecAtletico Nacional2 – 0Deportes Tolima

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
    1.5 goals18.2% · 1.36.9% · 3.4
    2.5 goals11.5% · 2.0513.5% · 1.75
    3.5 goals6.7% · 3.518.5% · 1.28

    Both teams to score

    Yes53.6%
    No46.4%

    Double chance

    1X49.3%
    X250.7%

    Match result

    Deportes Tolima2.75
    Draw3.1
    Atletico Nacional2.62

    Both teams to score

    Yes53.6% · 1.73
    No46.4% · 2

    1X

    Chance49.3%
    Odds1.44

    X2

    Chance50.7%
    Odds1.4

    Deportes Tolima

    Chance34.1%
    Odds2.75

    Draw

    Chance30.2%
    Odds3.1

    Atletico Nacional

    Chance35.7%
    Odds2.62

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Atletico Nacional at 2.62

    Deportes TolimaAtletico Nacional
    Recent form5%95%
    Attack37%63%
    Defence33%67%
    Goals model37%63%
    Head-to-head39%61%
    Overall49%51%

    Trends

    Trend · Primera A

    Atletico Nacional scored 1.7 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Primera A

    Atletico Nacional conceded 1 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Primera A

    Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

    Trend · Primera A

    Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

    Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Nacional: prediction & preview

    Colombia · Primera A · Sun, 17 May 2026

    Deportes Tolima meet Atletico Nacional in the Colombia, Primera A on 17 May 2026 at 00:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atletico Nacional at 2.62. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 35.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.73.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Nacional FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Nacional?

    Kickoff is 00:00 on 17 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Nacional?

    Atletico Nacional is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.62. The margin-adjusted share is about 35.7%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.73. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.