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Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellin Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Colombia · Primera AWed, 5 Aug 2026

Deportes Tolima

WLWWD

Wed, 5 Aug 202600:15

2 : 3

Full time

Independiente Medellin

WLWDW

Pre-match win probability

45.9%Deportes Tolima29.4%Draw24.7%Independiente Medellin

Our prediction

Draw · Deportes Tolima

Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellin listed tip from the board.

Odds3.2
Confidence45.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Deportes Tolima 45.9%
  • Draw 29.4%
  • Independiente Medellin 24.7%

Season statistics

Primera A · highlighted side is stronger

Deportes TolimaIndependiente Medellin

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.9% · 3
2.5 goals11% · 2.1514.1% · 1.67
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.8% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes48.5%
No51.5%

Double chance

1X58.1%
X241.9%

Match result

Deportes Tolima2.05
Draw3.2
Independiente Medellin3.8

Both teams to score

Yes48.5% · 1.91
No51.5% · 1.8

1X

Chance58.1%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance41.9%
Odds1.73

Deportes Tolima

Chance45.9%
Odds2.05

Draw

Chance29.4%
Odds3.2

Independiente Medellin

Chance24.7%
Odds3.8

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 3.2

Deportes TolimaIndependiente Medellin
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall65%35%

Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellin: prediction & preview

Colombia · Primera A · Wed, 5 Aug 2026

Deportes Tolima meet Independiente Medellin in the Colombia, Primera A on 5 August 2026 at 00:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Deportes Tolima at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 45.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellin FAQs

4 questions

What time is Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellin?

Kickoff is 00:15 on 5 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellin?

Deportes Tolima is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 45.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.15 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellin prediction, H2H and stats