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Derby County U21 vs Middlesbrough U21 Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · Premier League 2 Division OneFri, 20 Mar 2026

Derby County U21

24th in table · 20 pts

LLDWL

Fri, 20 Mar 202620:00

1 : 0

Full time

Middlesbrough U21

16th in table · 27 pts

DWLLL

Pre-match win probability

27%Derby County U2123.5%Draw49.5%Middlesbrough U21

Our prediction

Middlesbrough U21

Middlesbrough U21 is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.8
Confidence49.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Derby County U21 27%
  • Draw 23.5%
  • Middlesbrough U21 49.5%

Season statistics

Premier League 2 Division One · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Derby County U21Middlesbrough U21
Goals scored (avg)
2.51.5
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.92.3
Wins
57
Played
2020

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Derby County U213W 2D 5L in last 10
  • 26 OctDerby County U213 – 4Norwich City U21L
  • 19 OctBirmingham City U210 – 4Derby County U21W
  • 13 OctScunthorpe2 – 2Derby County U21D
  • 10 OctBrentford U214 – 2Derby County U21L
  • 18 SeptBurnley U214 – 1Derby County U21L
Middlesbrough U212W 3D 5L in last 10
  • 25 OctMiddlesbrough U211 – 2Tottenham Hotspur U21L
  • 20 OctBoreham Wood7 – 1Middlesbrough U21L
  • 16 OctEverton U212 – 1Middlesbrough U21L
  • 30 SeptMiddlesbrough U211 – 0Juventus U21W
  • 23 SeptMiddlesbrough U211 – 1Genk U21D
H2H
Head to headDerby County U21 0W · 0D · Middlesbrough U21 3W · 3.7 goals a game
  • 5 NovMiddlesbrough U211 – 0Derby County U21
  • 24 MarDerby County U211 – 5Middlesbrough U21
  • 12 AugMiddlesbrough U213 – 1Derby County U21

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals60.9% · 1.5339.1% · 2.38

Double chance

1X40.6%
X259.4%

Match result

Derby County U213.3
Draw3.8
Middlesbrough U211.8

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance40.6%
Odds1.83

X2

Chance59.4%
Odds1.25

Derby County U21

Chance27%
Odds3.3

Draw

Chance23.5%
Odds3.8

Middlesbrough U21

Chance49.5%
Odds1.8

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Middlesbrough U21 at 1.8

Derby County U21Middlesbrough U21
Recent form55%45%
Attack63%37%
Defence13%87%
Goals model63%37%
Head-to-head0%100%
Overall35%65%

Trends

Trend · Premier League 2 Division One

Derby County U21 scored 2.5 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Premier League 2 Division One

Derby County U21 conceded 2.9 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Premier League 2 Division One

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 10.

Trend · Premier League 2 Division One

Over 2.5 goals in 10 of those 10.

Derby County U21 vs Middlesbrough U21: prediction & preview

England · Premier League 2 Division One · Fri, 20 Mar 2026

Derby County U21 meet Middlesbrough U21 in the England, Premier League 2 Division One on 20 March 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Middlesbrough U21 at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 49.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.53, about 60.9% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Derby County U21 vs Middlesbrough U21 FAQs

4 questions

What time is Derby County U21 vs Middlesbrough U21?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 20 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Derby County U21 vs Middlesbrough U21?

Middlesbrough U21 is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 49.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.53 and under 2.5 is 2.38.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.