Derby vs Cardiff Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · ChampionshipSat, 22 Aug 2026

Derby

LLDLW

Sat, 22 Aug 202615:00

2 : 2

Full time

Cardiff

DWWWW

Pre-match win probability

46.1%Derby27%Draw27%Cardiff

Our prediction

Away · Derby

Derby vs Cardiff listed tip from the board.

Odds3.5
Confidence46.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Derby 46.1%
  • Draw 27%
  • Cardiff 27%

Season statistics

Championship · highlighted side is stronger

DerbyCardiff

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.7% · 1.286.4% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.5% · 1.9112.5% · 1.91
3.5 goals7.5% · 3.217.6% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes53.6%
No46.4%

Double chance

1X59.4%
X240.6%

Match result

Derby2.05
Draw3.5
Cardiff3.5

Both teams to score

Yes53.6% · 1.73
No46.4% · 2

1X

Chance59.4%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance40.6%
Odds1.83

Derby

Chance46.1%
Odds2.05

Draw

Chance27%
Odds3.5

Cardiff

Chance27%
Odds3.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 3.5

DerbyCardiff
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall63%37%

Derby vs Cardiff: prediction & preview

England · Championship · Sat, 22 Aug 2026

Derby meet Cardiff in the England, Championship on 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Derby at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 46.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.91, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Derby vs Cardiff FAQs

4 questions

What time is Derby vs Cardiff?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 22 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Derby vs Cardiff?

Derby is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 46.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.91 and under 2.5 is 1.91.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.73. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Derby vs Cardiff prediction, H2H and stats