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Derby vs Leicester Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · ChampionshipSat, 6 Dec 2025

Derby

LWLWW

Sat, 6 Dec 202513:30

vs

Not started

Leicester

LWWLW

Pre-match win probability

34.4%Derby29.5%Draw36.1%Leicester

Our prediction

Draw · Derby

Derby vs Leicester listed tip from the board.

Odds3.2
Confidence36.1%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Derby 34.4%
  • Draw 29.5%
  • Leicester 36.1%

Season statistics

Championship · highlighted side is stronger

DerbyLeicester
Goals scored (avg)
–2.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1.7

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Derby0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Leicester5W 1D 4L in last 10
    • 27 OctLeicester3 – 0WiganW
    • 24 OctLuton2 – 1LeicesterL
    • 20 OctBromley0 – 4LeicesterW
    • 17 OctLeicester2 – 1DoncasterW
    • 10 OctLeicester1 – 3PeterboroughL
    H2H
    Head to headDerby 1W · 1D · Leicester 7W · 3.6 goals a game
    • 29 DecLeicester2 – 1Derby
    • 23 JulDerby1 – 3Leicester
    • 8 FebLeicester3 – 1Derby
    • 27 JanDerby2 – 2Leicester
    • 10 JanLeicester4 – 1Derby
    • 24 SeptLeicester2 – 1Derby

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22% · 1.083% · 8
    1.5 goals16.5% · 1.448.6% · 2.75
    2.5 goals10.3% · 2.314.7% · 1.62
    3.5 goals5.5% · 4.3319.5% · 1.22

    Both teams to score

    Yes48.5%
    No51.5%

    Double chance

    1X49.3%
    X250.7%

    Match result

    Derby2.75
    Draw3.2
    Leicester2.62

    Both teams to score

    Yes48.5% · 1.91
    No51.5% · 1.8

    1X

    Chance49.3%
    Odds1.44

    X2

    Chance50.7%
    Odds1.4

    Derby

    Chance34.4%
    Odds2.75

    Draw

    Chance29.5%
    Odds3.2

    Leicester

    Chance36.1%
    Odds2.62

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Draw at 3.2

    DerbyLeicester
    Recent form6%94%
    Attack30%70%
    Defence43%57%
    Goals model30%70%
    Head-to-head17%83%
    Overall49%51%

    Trends

    Trend · Championship

    Leicester scored 2.3 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Championship

    Leicester conceded 1.7 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Championship

    Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

    Trend · Championship

    Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

    Derby vs Leicester: prediction & preview

    England · Championship · Sat, 6 Dec 2025

    Derby meet Leicester in the England, Championship on 6 December 2025 at 13:30 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Leicester at 2.62. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 36.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Derby vs Leicester FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Derby vs Leicester?

    Kickoff is 13:30 on 6 December 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Derby vs Leicester?

    Leicester is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.62. The margin-adjusted share is about 36.1%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.3 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.