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Derby vs Lincoln Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · League CupSat, 8 Aug 2026

Derby

DDLLD

Sat, 8 Aug 202615:00

1 : 2

Full time

Lincoln

LWLLW

Pre-match win probability

46.6%Derby25.9%Draw27.4%Lincoln

Our prediction

Draw · Derby

Derby vs Lincoln listed tip from the board.

Odds3.6
Confidence46.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Derby 46.6%
  • Draw 25.9%
  • Lincoln 27.4%

Season statistics

League Cup · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

DerbyLincoln
Goals scored (avg)
0.7–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.7–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Derby1W 3D 6L in last 10
  • 24 OctSheffield Utd1 – 1DerbyD
  • 17 OctDerby0 – 1Stoke CityL
  • 14 OctQPR4 – 1DerbyL
  • 10 OctDerby1 – 1WrexhamD
  • 19 SeptBurnley1 – 1DerbyD
Lincoln0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headDerby 2W · 2D · Lincoln 1W · 2 goals a game
    • 20 JanLincoln0 – 0Derby
    • 21 DecDerby3 – 1Lincoln
    • 19 SeptDerby2 – 0Lincoln
    • 14 FebDerby1 – 1Lincoln
    • 13 SeptLincoln2 – 0Derby

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.7% · 1.041.8% · 13
    1.5 goals19.6% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
    2.5 goals13.9% · 1.711.2% · 2.1
    3.5 goals9% · 2.6216.4% · 1.44

    Both teams to score

    Yes57.6%
    No42.4%

    Double chance

    1X58.1%
    X241.9%

    Match result

    Derby2
    Draw3.6
    Lincoln3.4

    Both teams to score

    Yes57.6% · 1.62
    No42.4% · 2.2

    1X

    Chance58.1%
    Odds1.3

    X2

    Chance41.9%
    Odds1.8

    Derby

    Chance46.6%
    Odds2

    Draw

    Chance25.9%
    Odds3.6

    Lincoln

    Chance27.4%
    Odds3.4

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Draw at 3.6

    DerbyLincoln
    Recent form86%14%
    Attack41%59%
    Defence57%43%
    Goals model41%59%
    Head-to-head60%40%
    Overall63%37%

    Trends

    Trend · League Cup

    Derby scored 0.7 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · League Cup

    Derby conceded 1.7 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · League Cup

    Failed to score in 4 of those 10.

    Trend · League Cup

    Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 10.

    Derby vs Lincoln: prediction & preview

    England · League Cup · Sat, 8 Aug 2026

    Derby meet Lincoln in the England, League Cup on 8 August 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Derby at 2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 46.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Derby vs Lincoln FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Derby vs Lincoln?

    Kickoff is 15:00 on 8 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Derby vs Lincoln?

    Derby is the shortest 1X2 price at 2. The margin-adjusted share is about 46.6%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.7 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.