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Derby vs Millwall Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · ChampionshipWed, 10 Dec 2025

Derby

LLWLW

Wed, 10 Dec 202520:45

1 : 1

Full time

Millwall

WWWLD

Pre-match win probability

35.1%Derby30.5%Draw34.4%Millwall

Our prediction

Away · Derby

Derby vs Millwall listed tip from the board.

Odds2.75
Confidence35.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Derby 35.1%
  • Draw 30.5%
  • Millwall 34.4%

Season statistics

Championship · highlighted side is stronger

DerbyMillwall

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.083.2% · 7.5
1.5 goals17% · 1.47.9% · 3
2.5 goals10.3% · 2.314.7% · 1.62
3.5 goals5.5% · 4.3319.5% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes48.5%
No51.5%

Double chance

1X50.7%
X249.3%

Match result

Derby2.7
Draw3.1
Millwall2.75

Both teams to score

Yes48.5% · 1.91
No51.5% · 1.8

1X

Chance50.7%
Odds1.4

X2

Chance49.3%
Odds1.44

Derby

Chance35.1%
Odds2.7

Draw

Chance30.5%
Odds3.1

Millwall

Chance34.4%
Odds2.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 2.75

DerbyMillwall
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall51%49%

Derby vs Millwall: prediction & preview

England · Championship · Wed, 10 Dec 2025

Derby meet Millwall in the England, Championship on 10 December 2025 at 20:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Derby at 2.7. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 35.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Derby vs Millwall FAQs

4 questions

What time is Derby vs Millwall?

Kickoff is 20:45 on 10 December 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Derby vs Millwall?

Derby is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.7. The margin-adjusted share is about 35.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.3 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Derby vs Millwall prediction, H2H and stats