Derby vs Norwich Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · ChampionshipTue, 21 Oct 2025

Derby

Tue, 21 Oct 202519:45

1 : 0

Full time

Norwich

Pre-match win probability

39%Derby29.1%Draw31.9%Norwich

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Derby

Derby vs Norwich listed tip from the board.

Odds1.37
Confidence39%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Derby 39%
  • Draw 29.1%
  • Norwich 31.9%

Season statistics

Championship · highlighted side is stronger

DerbyNorwich

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.4% · 1.022.8% · 8.1
1.5 goals17.3% · 1.327.9% · 2.89
2.5 goals10.8% · 2.1113.5% · 1.7
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.6218.9% · 1.21

Both teams to score

Yes50.8%
No49.2%

Double chance

1X52.9%
X247.1%

Match result

Derby2.4
Draw3.22
Norwich2.94

Both teams to score

Yes50.8% · 1.82
No49.2% · 1.88

1X

Chance52.9%
Odds1.37

X2

Chance47.1%
Odds1.54

Derby

Chance39%
Odds2.4

Draw

Chance29.1%
Odds3.22

Norwich

Chance31.9%
Odds2.94

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.37

DerbyNorwich
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall55%45%

Derby vs Norwich: prediction & preview

England · Championship · Tue, 21 Oct 2025

Derby meet Norwich in the England, Championship on 21 October 2025 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Derby at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55.4% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.82.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Derby vs Norwich FAQs

4 questions

What time is Derby vs Norwich?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 21 October 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Derby vs Norwich?

Derby is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 39%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.11 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.82. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Derby vs Norwich prediction, H2H and stats