Derby vs Oxford United Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · ChampionshipSat, 18 Apr 2026

Derby

LWLWW

Sat, 18 Apr 202612:30

1 : 0

Full time

Oxford United

WDDLD

Pre-match win probability

48.7%Derby27.4%Draw23.9%Oxford United

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Derby

Derby vs Oxford United listed tip from the board.

Odds1.22
Confidence48.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Derby 48.7%
  • Draw 27.4%
  • Oxford United 23.9%

Season statistics

Championship · highlighted side is stronger

DerbyOxford United

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.9% · 1.337% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.9% · 213.2% · 1.8
3.5 goals6.4% · 3.7518.6% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X60%
X240%

Match result

Derby1.91
Draw3.4
Oxford United3.9

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance60%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance40%
Odds1.83

Derby

Chance48.7%
Odds1.91

Draw

Chance27.4%
Odds3.4

Oxford United

Chance23.9%
Odds3.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.22

DerbyOxford United
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall67%33%

Derby vs Oxford United: prediction & preview

England · Championship · Sat, 18 Apr 2026

Derby meet Oxford United in the England, Championship on 18 April 2026 at 12:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Derby at 1.91. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 48.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Derby vs Oxford United FAQs

4 questions

What time is Derby vs Oxford United?

Kickoff is 12:30 on 18 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Derby vs Oxford United?

Derby is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.91. The margin-adjusted share is about 48.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Derby vs Oxford United prediction, H2H and stats