Derby vs Portsmouth Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · ChampionshipSat, 20 Dec 2025

Derby

WDLLW

Sat, 20 Dec 202516:00

1 : 1

Full time

Portsmouth

WLDLL

Pre-match win probability

47.1%Derby29.4%Draw23.5%Portsmouth

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Derby

Derby vs Portsmouth listed tip from the board.

Odds1.22
Confidence47.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Derby 47.1%
  • Draw 29.4%
  • Portsmouth 23.5%

Season statistics

Championship · highlighted side is stronger

DerbyPortsmouth

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.083% · 8
1.5 goals17% · 1.47.9% · 3
2.5 goals10.8% · 2.214.2% · 1.67
3.5 goals5.5% · 4.3319.5% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes48.5%
No51.5%

Double chance

1X59.6%
X240.4%

Match result

Derby2
Draw3.2
Portsmouth4

Both teams to score

Yes48.5% · 1.91
No51.5% · 1.8

1X

Chance59.6%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance40.4%
Odds1.8

Derby

Chance47.1%
Odds2

Draw

Chance29.4%
Odds3.2

Portsmouth

Chance23.5%
Odds4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.22

DerbyPortsmouth
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall67%33%

Derby vs Portsmouth: prediction & preview

England · Championship · Sat, 20 Dec 2025

Derby meet Portsmouth in the England, Championship on 20 December 2025 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Derby at 2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 47.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Derby vs Portsmouth FAQs

4 questions

What time is Derby vs Portsmouth?

Kickoff is 16:00 on 20 December 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Derby vs Portsmouth?

Derby is the shortest 1X2 price at 2. The margin-adjusted share is about 47.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.2 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Derby vs Portsmouth prediction, H2H and stats