Derby vs Stoke City Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Derby

LWWLW

Mon, 6 Apr 202615:00

2 : 0

Full time

Stoke City

WLWDL

Pre-match win probability

50.6%Derby26%Draw23.4%Stoke City

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Derby

Derby vs Stoke City listed tip from the board.

Odds1.22
Confidence50.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Derby 50.6%
  • Draw 26%
  • Stoke City 23.4%

Season statistics

Championship · highlighted side is stronger

DerbyStoke City

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.7% · 1.286.4% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.5% · 1.9112.5% · 1.91
3.5 goals7.5% · 3.217.6% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X61%
X239%

Match result

Derby1.85
Draw3.6
Stoke City4

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance61%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance39%
Odds1.91

Derby

Chance50.6%
Odds1.85

Draw

Chance26%
Odds3.6

Stoke City

Chance23.4%
Odds4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.22

DerbyStoke City
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall68%32%

Derby vs Stoke City: prediction & preview

England · Championship · Mon, 6 Apr 2026

Derby meet Stoke City in the England, Championship on 6 April 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Derby at 1.85. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 50.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.91, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Derby vs Stoke City FAQs

4 questions

What time is Derby vs Stoke City?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 6 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Derby vs Stoke City?

Derby is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.85. The margin-adjusted share is about 50.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.91 and under 2.5 is 1.91.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Derby vs Stoke City prediction, H2H and stats