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Derby vs Swansea Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · ChampionshipSat, 29 Aug 2026

Derby

Sat, 29 Aug 202612:30

0 : 3

Full time

Swansea

Pre-match win probability

41.7%Derby28.9%Draw29.4%Swansea

Our prediction

Derby

Derby is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.25
Confidence41.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Derby 41.7%
  • Draw 28.9%
  • Swansea 29.4%

Season statistics

Championship · highlighted side is stronger

DerbySwansea

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.5% · 1.367.4% · 3.2
2.5 goals11.3% · 2.113.8% · 1.73
3.5 goals6% · 419.1% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X54.4%
X245.6%

Match result

Derby2.25
Draw3.25
Swansea3.2

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance54.4%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance45.6%
Odds1.62

Derby

Chance41.7%
Odds2.25

Draw

Chance28.9%
Odds3.25

Swansea

Chance29.4%
Odds3.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Derby at 2.25

DerbySwansea
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall59%41%

Derby vs Swansea: prediction & preview

England · Championship · Sat, 29 Aug 2026

Derby meet Swansea in the England, Championship on 29 August 2026 at 12:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Derby at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.73, about 54.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Derby vs Swansea FAQs

4 questions

What time is Derby vs Swansea?

Kickoff is 12:30 on 29 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Derby vs Swansea?

Derby is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.73.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Derby vs Swansea prediction, H2H and stats