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Derby vs West Brom Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · ChampionshipFri, 23 Jan 2026

Derby

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Fri, 23 Jan 202621:00

1 : 1

Full time

West Brom

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Pre-match win probability

35.9%Derby30.1%Draw34%West Brom

Our prediction

Home · Derby

Derby vs West Brom listed tip from the board.

Odds2.6
Confidence35.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Derby 35.9%
  • Draw 30.1%
  • West Brom 34%

Season statistics

Championship · highlighted side is stronger

DerbyWest Brom

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.5% · 1.13.4% · 7
1.5 goals16.4% · 1.448.6% · 2.75
2.5 goals10% · 2.3815.1% · 1.57
3.5 goals5.3% · 4.519.7% · 1.2

Both teams to score

Yes48.5%
No51.5%

Double chance

1X51.7%
X248.3%

Match result

Derby2.6
Draw3.1
West Brom2.75

Both teams to score

Yes48.5% · 1.91
No51.5% · 1.8

1X

Chance51.7%
Odds1.4

X2

Chance48.3%
Odds1.5

Derby

Chance35.9%
Odds2.6

Draw

Chance30.1%
Odds3.1

West Brom

Chance34%
Odds2.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 2.6

DerbyWest Brom
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall51%49%

Derby vs West Brom: prediction & preview

England · Championship · Fri, 23 Jan 2026

Derby meet West Brom in the England, Championship on 23 January 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Derby at 2.6. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 35.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.57, about 60.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Derby vs West Brom FAQs

4 questions

What time is Derby vs West Brom?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 23 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Derby vs West Brom?

Derby is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.6. The margin-adjusted share is about 35.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.38 and under 2.5 is 1.57.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Derby vs West Brom prediction, H2H and stats