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Derby vs Wrexham Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · ChampionshipSun, 4 Jan 2026

Derby

WLDDW

Sun, 4 Jan 202616:00

1 : 2

Full time

Wrexham

WWWLD

Pre-match win probability

42.4%Derby30.1%Draw27.5%Wrexham

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Derby

Derby vs Wrexham listed tip from the board.

Odds1.36
Confidence42.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Derby 42.4%
  • Draw 30.1%
  • Wrexham 27.5%

Season statistics

Championship · highlighted side is stronger

DerbyWrexham

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.4% · 1.113.7% · 6.5
1.5 goals15.8% · 1.59.1% · 2.62
2.5 goals9.1% · 2.6215.8% · 1.5
3.5 goals4.8% · 520.3% · 1.17

Both teams to score

Yes44.3%
No55.7%

Double chance

1X52.9%
X247.1%

Match result

Derby2.2
Draw3.1
Wrexham3.4

Both teams to score

Yes44.3% · 2.1
No55.7% · 1.67

1X

Chance52.9%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance47.1%
Odds1.53

Derby

Chance42.4%
Odds2.2

Draw

Chance30.1%
Odds3.1

Wrexham

Chance27.5%
Odds3.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.36

DerbyWrexham
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall61%39%

Derby vs Wrexham: prediction & preview

England · Championship · Sun, 4 Jan 2026

Derby meet Wrexham in the England, Championship on 4 January 2026 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Derby at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.5, about 63.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Derby vs Wrexham FAQs

4 questions

What time is Derby vs Wrexham?

Kickoff is 16:00 on 4 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Derby vs Wrexham?

Derby is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.62 and under 2.5 is 1.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Derby vs Wrexham prediction, H2H and stats