Derby vs Wrexham Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · ChampionshipSat, 10 Oct 2026

Derby

Sat, 10 Oct 202615:00

1 : 1

Full time

Wrexham

Pre-match win probability

34.2%Derby28.9%Draw36.9%Wrexham

Our prediction

Wrexham

Wrexham is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.55
Confidence36.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Derby 34.2%
  • Draw 28.9%
  • Wrexham 36.9%

Season statistics

Championship · highlighted side is stronger

DerbyWrexham

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals18.7% · 1.286.4% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.5% · 1.9112.5% · 1.91
3.5 goals7% · 3.418% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X47.1%
X252.9%

Match result

Derby2.75
Draw3.25
Wrexham2.55

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance47.1%
Odds1.53

X2

Chance52.9%
Odds1.36

Derby

Chance34.2%
Odds2.75

Draw

Chance28.9%
Odds3.25

Wrexham

Chance36.9%
Odds2.55

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Wrexham at 2.55

DerbyWrexham
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall48%52%

Derby vs Wrexham: prediction & preview

England · Championship · Sat, 10 Oct 2026

Derby meet Wrexham in the England, Championship on 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Wrexham at 2.55. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 36.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.91, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Derby vs Wrexham FAQs

4 questions

What time is Derby vs Wrexham?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 10 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Derby vs Wrexham?

Wrexham is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.55. The margin-adjusted share is about 36.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.91 and under 2.5 is 1.91.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Derby vs Wrexham prediction, H2H and stats