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Derry City vs Dundalk Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Ireland · FAI CupSun, 6 Sept 2026

Derry City

Sun, 6 Sept 202616:00

4 : 2

Full time

Dundalk

Pre-match win probability

42.6%Derry City26.9%Draw30.5%Dundalk

Our prediction

Derry City

Derry City is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.15
Confidence42.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Derry City 42.6%
  • Draw 26.9%
  • Dundalk 30.5%

Season statistics

FAI Cup · highlighted side is stronger

Derry CityDundalk

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.042.6% · 9
1.5 goals19.5% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
2.5 goals13.8% · 1.711.1% · 2.1
3.5 goals8.9% · 2.6216.2% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X59.6%
X240.4%

Match result

Derry City2.15
Draw3.4
Dundalk3

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance59.6%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance40.4%
Odds1.8

Derry City

Chance42.6%
Odds2.15

Draw

Chance26.9%
Odds3.4

Dundalk

Chance30.5%
Odds3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Derry City at 2.15

Derry CityDundalk
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall58%42%

Derry City vs Dundalk: prediction & preview

Ireland · FAI Cup · Sun, 6 Sept 2026

Derry City meet Dundalk in the Ireland, FAI Cup on 6 September 2026 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Derry City at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Derry City vs Dundalk FAQs

4 questions

What time is Derry City vs Dundalk?

Kickoff is 16:00 on 6 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Derry City vs Dundalk?

Derry City is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.7 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Derry City vs Dundalk prediction, H2H and stats