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Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl. Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Ireland · Premier DivisionMon, 19 Oct 2026

Derry City

Mon, 19 Oct 202620:00

1 : 0

Full time

St Patrick's Athl.

Pre-match win probability

27.9%Derry City27.9%Draw44.2%St Patrick's Athl.

Our prediction

St Patrick's Athl.

St Patrick's Athl. is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.05
Confidence44.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Derry City 27.9%
  • Draw 27.9%
  • St Patrick's Athl. 44.2%

Season statistics

Premier Division · highlighted side is stronger

Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals17.8% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.5% · 2.0513.5% · 1.75
3.5 goals6.8% · 3.518.5% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X43.8%
X256.2%

Match result

Derry City3.25
Draw3.25
St Patrick's Athl.2.05

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance43.8%
Odds1.67

X2

Chance56.2%
Odds1.3

Derry City

Chance27.9%
Odds3.25

Draw

Chance27.9%
Odds3.25

St Patrick's Athl.

Chance44.2%
Odds2.05

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: St Patrick's Athl. at 2.05

Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall39%61%

Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.: prediction & preview

Ireland · Premier Division · Mon, 19 Oct 2026

Derry City meet St Patrick's Athl. in the Ireland, Premier Division on 19 October 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is St Patrick's Athl. at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl. FAQs

4 questions

What time is Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 19 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.?

St Patrick's Athl. is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl. prediction, H2H and stats