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Derthona vs Alessandria Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie D - Girone ASun, 4 Oct 2026

Derthona

8th in table · 13 pts

Sun, 4 Oct 202614:00

1 : 3

Full time

Alessandria

1st in table · 24 pts

Pre-match win probability

30%Derthona30%Draw40%Alessandria

Our prediction

Alessandria

Alessandria is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.25
Confidence40%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Derthona 30%
  • Draw 30%
  • Alessandria 40%

Season statistics

Serie D - Girone A · highlighted side is stronger

DerthonaAlessandria
Wins
38
Played
99

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Derthona0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Alessandria0W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      Goal lineOverUnder
      2.5 goals42.9% · 2.257.1% · 1.65

      Double chance

      1X45.9%
      X254.1%

      Match result

      Derthona3
      Draw3
      Alessandria2.25

      No BTTS prices stored.

      1X

      Chance45.9%
      Odds1.53

      X2

      Chance54.1%
      Odds1.3

      Derthona

      Chance30%
      Odds3

      Draw

      Chance30%
      Odds3

      Alessandria

      Chance40%
      Odds2.25

      No half-time prices stored.

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: Alessandria at 2.25

      DerthonaAlessandria
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Overall43%57%

      Derthona vs Alessandria: prediction & preview

      Italy · Serie D - Girone A · Sun, 4 Oct 2026

      Derthona meet Alessandria in the Italy, Serie D - Girone A on 4 October 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–3.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Alessandria at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin).

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      Derthona vs Alessandria FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is Derthona vs Alessandria?

      Kickoff is 14:00 on 4 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      Which outcome is shortest on Derthona vs Alessandria?

      Alessandria is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 40%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over 2.5 is 2.2 and under 2.5 is 1.65.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.