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Dragones de Oaxaca vs Real Refineros Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga Premier Serie ASun, 4 Oct 2026

Dragones de Oaxaca

1st in table · 22 pts

DWDWW

Sun, 4 Oct 202601:00

3 : 2

Full time

Real Refineros

8th in table · 9 pts

DDDWL

Pre-match win probability

65.8%Dragones de Oaxaca17.9%Draw16.3%Real Refineros

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Dragones de Oaxaca

Dragones de Oaxaca vs Real Refineros listed tip from the board.

Odds1.12
Confidence65.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Dragones de Oaxaca 65.8%
  • Draw 17.9%
  • Real Refineros 16.3%

Season statistics

Liga Premier Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

Dragones de OaxacaReal Refineros
Wins
63
Played
99

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Dragones de Oaxaca0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Real Refineros0W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      Goal lineOverUnder
      2.5 goals57.1% · 1.6542.9% · 2.2

      Double chance

      1X68.2%
      X231.8%

      Match result

      Dragones de Oaxaca1.36
      Draw5
      Real Refineros5.5

      No BTTS prices stored.

      1X

      Chance68.2%
      Odds1.12

      X2

      Chance31.8%
      Odds2.4

      Dragones de Oaxaca

      Chance65.8%
      Odds1.36

      Draw

      Chance17.9%
      Odds5

      Real Refineros

      Chance16.3%
      Odds5.5

      No half-time prices stored.

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.12

      Dragones de OaxacaReal Refineros
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Overall80%20%

      Dragones de Oaxaca vs Real Refineros: prediction & preview

      Mexico · Liga Premier Serie A · Sun, 4 Oct 2026

      Dragones de Oaxaca meet Real Refineros in the Mexico, Liga Premier Serie A on 4 October 2026 at 01:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Dragones de Oaxaca at 1.36. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 65.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin).

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      Dragones de Oaxaca vs Real Refineros FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is Dragones de Oaxaca vs Real Refineros?

      Kickoff is 01:00 on 4 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      Which outcome is shortest on Dragones de Oaxaca vs Real Refineros?

      Dragones de Oaxaca is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.36. The margin-adjusted share is about 65.8%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over 2.5 is 1.65 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.