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Dunfermline vs Aberdeen Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Scotland · FA CupSat, 7 Mar 2026

Dunfermline

DDDWW

Sat, 7 Mar 202620:30

3 : 0

Full time

Aberdeen

LLDLW

Pre-match win probability

24.7%Dunfermline26.5%Draw48.8%Aberdeen

Our prediction

X2 · Dunfermline

Dunfermline vs Aberdeen listed tip from the board.

Odds1.3
Confidence48.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Dunfermline 24.7%
  • Draw 26.5%
  • Aberdeen 48.8%

Season statistics

FA Cup · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

DunfermlineAberdeen
Goals scored (avg)
1–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.7–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Dunfermline5W 4D 1L in last 10
  • 27 OctStenhousemuir0 – 1DunfermlineW
  • 24 OctQueen's Park0 – 1DunfermlineW
  • 20 OctDunfermline1 – 1PartickD
  • 17 OctDunfermline0 – 0LivingstonD
  • 10 OctAyr Utd1 – 1DunfermlineD
Aberdeen0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headDunfermline 1W · 1D · Aberdeen 4W · 3.7 goals a game
    • 3 OctDunfermline1 – 4Aberdeen
    • 9 FebAberdeen3 – 0Dunfermline
    • 28 AprDunfermline3 – 0Aberdeen
    • 28 JanAberdeen1 – 0Dunfermline
    • 26 NovDunfermline3 – 3Aberdeen
    • 30 SeptAberdeen4 – 0Dunfermline

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.5% · 1.052.2% · 11
    1.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.8% · 3.5
    2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.8% · 1.85
    3.5 goals7% · 3.418.2% · 1.3

    Both teams to score

    Yes52%
    No48%

    Double chance

    1X41.9%
    X258.1%

    Match result

    Dunfermline3.75
    Draw3.5
    Aberdeen1.9

    Both teams to score

    Yes52% · 1.8
    No48% · 1.95

    1X

    Chance41.9%
    Odds1.8

    X2

    Chance58.1%
    Odds1.3

    Dunfermline

    Chance24.7%
    Odds3.75

    Draw

    Chance26.5%
    Odds3.5

    Aberdeen

    Chance48.8%
    Odds1.9

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: X2 at 1.3

    DunfermlineAberdeen
    Recent form95%5%
    Attack50%50%
    Defence70%30%
    Goals model50%50%
    Head-to-head25%75%
    Overall34%66%

    Trends

    Trend · FA Cup

    Dunfermline scored 1 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · FA Cup

    Dunfermline conceded 0.7 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · FA Cup

    Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

    Trend · FA Cup

    Kept a clean sheet in 6 of those 10.

    Dunfermline vs Aberdeen: prediction & preview

    Scotland · FA Cup · Sat, 7 Mar 2026

    Dunfermline meet Aberdeen in the Scotland, FA Cup on 7 March 2026 at 20:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–0.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Aberdeen at 1.9. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 48.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Dunfermline vs Aberdeen FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Dunfermline vs Aberdeen?

    Kickoff is 20:30 on 7 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Dunfermline vs Aberdeen?

    Aberdeen is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.9. The margin-adjusted share is about 48.8%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.