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Dunfermline vs Arbroath Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Scotland · PremiershipTue, 5 May 2026

Dunfermline

Tue, 5 May 202619:45

1 : 0

Full time

Arbroath

Pre-match win probability

41.2%Dunfermline29.6%Draw29.2%Arbroath

Our prediction

Dunfermline

Dunfermline is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.3
Confidence41.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Dunfermline 41.2%
  • Draw 29.6%
  • Arbroath 29.2%

Season statistics

Premiership · highlighted side is stronger

DunfermlineArbroath

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals18.2% · 1.37% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.8% · 213.1% · 1.8
3.5 goals7% · 3.418.2% · 1.3

Both teams to score

Yes53.3%
No46.7%

Double chance

1X53.6%
X246.4%

Match result

Dunfermline2.3
Draw3.2
Arbroath3.25

Both teams to score

Yes53.3% · 1.75
No46.7% · 2

1X

Chance53.6%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance46.4%
Odds1.57

Dunfermline

Chance41.2%
Odds2.3

Draw

Chance29.6%
Odds3.2

Arbroath

Chance29.2%
Odds3.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Dunfermline at 2.3

DunfermlineArbroath
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall59%41%

Dunfermline vs Arbroath: prediction & preview

Scotland · Premiership · Tue, 5 May 2026

Dunfermline meet Arbroath in the Scotland, Premiership on 5 May 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Dunfermline at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Dunfermline vs Arbroath FAQs

4 questions

What time is Dunfermline vs Arbroath?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 5 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Dunfermline vs Arbroath?

Dunfermline is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.75. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Dunfermline vs Arbroath prediction, H2H and stats