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Dunfermline vs Dumbarton Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Scotland · League CupTue, 14 Jul 2026

Dunfermline

Tue, 14 Jul 202619:45

4 : 1

Full time

Dumbarton

Pre-match win probability

78.3%Dunfermline14.1%Draw7.6%Dumbarton

Our prediction

Home · Dunfermline

Dunfermline vs Dumbarton listed tip from the board.

Odds1.17
Confidence78.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Dunfermline 78.3%
  • Draw 14.1%
  • Dumbarton 7.6%

Season statistics

League Cup · highlighted side is stronger

DunfermlineDumbarton

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.2% · 1.021.2% · 19
1.5 goals21.1% · 1.123.9% · 6
2.5 goals16.4% · 1.448.8% · 2.7
3.5 goals11.3% · 2.114.1% · 1.67

Both teams to score

Yes44.3%
No55.7%

Double chance

1X82.6%
X217.4%

Match result

Dunfermline1.17
Draw6.5
Dumbarton12

Both teams to score

Yes44.3% · 2.1
No55.7% · 1.67

1X

Chance82.6%
Odds1.05

X2

Chance17.4%
Odds5

Dunfermline

Chance78.3%
Odds1.17

Draw

Chance14.1%
Odds6.5

Dumbarton

Chance7.6%
Odds12

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.17

DunfermlineDumbarton
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall91%9%

Dunfermline vs Dumbarton: prediction & preview

Scotland · League Cup · Tue, 14 Jul 2026

Dunfermline meet Dumbarton in the Scotland, League Cup on 14 July 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Dunfermline at 1.17. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 78.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.44, about 65.2% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Dunfermline vs Dumbarton FAQs

4 questions

What time is Dunfermline vs Dumbarton?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 14 July 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Dunfermline vs Dumbarton?

Dunfermline is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.17. The margin-adjusted share is about 78.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.44 and under 2.5 is 2.7.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Dunfermline vs Dumbarton prediction, H2H and stats