Ecuador vs Germany Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · World CupThu, 25 Jun 2026

Ecuador

Thu, 25 Jun 202621:00

2 : 1

Full time

Germany

Pre-match win probability

18.9%Ecuador19.9%Draw61.1%Germany

Our prediction

Away · Ecuador

Ecuador vs Germany listed tip from the board.

Odds1.55
Confidence61.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Ecuador 18.9%
  • Draw 19.9%
  • Germany 61.1%

Season statistics

World Cup · highlighted side is stronger

EcuadorGermany

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.4% · 1.021.4% · 17
1.5 goals19.9% · 1.25.3% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.3% · 1.6710.8% · 2.2
3.5 goals9.1% · 2.6215.9% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes53.3%
No46.7%

Double chance

1X33%
X267%

Match result

Ecuador5
Draw4.75
Germany1.55

Both teams to score

Yes53.3% · 1.75
No46.7% · 2

1X

Chance33%
Odds2.38

X2

Chance67%
Odds1.17

Ecuador

Chance18.9%
Odds5

Draw

Chance19.9%
Odds4.75

Germany

Chance61.1%
Odds1.55

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 1.55

EcuadorGermany
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall24%76%

Ecuador vs Germany: prediction & preview

World · World Cup · Thu, 25 Jun 2026

Ecuador meet Germany in the World, World Cup on 25 June 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Germany at 1.55. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 61.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Ecuador vs Germany FAQs

4 questions

What time is Ecuador vs Germany?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 25 June 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Ecuador vs Germany?

Germany is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.55. The margin-adjusted share is about 61.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.75. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Ecuador vs Germany prediction, H2H and stats